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14 October 2012 @ 10:22 am
Electoral College Map, 10-14-2012  
This is the first map I've posted here since September 29, although I posted another on FB in between times.



A number of significant changes from 9-29:
  • Pennsylvania goes from light blue to green
  • North Carolina goes from yellow to light orange
  • Indiana goes from orange to red
  • Missouri goes from light orange to orange.
  • Wisconsin goes from light blue to green
  • Colorado goes from green to yellow
  • Nevada goes from green to yellow
  • Ohio goes from green to yellow
  • Virginia goes from green to yellow
These are all changes in Romney's favor, and all occurred since the first debate.  The poll changes since October 3rd have been stunning and unprecedented.

What dominates the map now are the pale colors -- that is, there are a lot of states in the "less than 3% margin" zone, and a bunch more in the "3%-to-5%" zone.  Nate Silver's model still predicts an Obama victory, but by the smallest of probabilities and electoral margins.  This may turn out to be the most interesting election in 12 years.  Have the coffee ready on November 6th.
 
 
Current Location: A Blue State
Current Music: Church bells
 
 
 
girlspell: gonegirlspell on October 14th, 2012 05:09 pm (UTC)
Oh man. Romney and his Magic Underwear might be in the White House! (Romney is a Bishop and thus allows him to wear special underwear, with elaborate inscriptions.) I think his wife has to wear special underwear too.

It's exciting. Good chance Romney will squeeze in. Obama lost my vote. I never voted for him the first go round. I'll be an interested spectator.

LOL... If he gets in, I will never hear the last of it from my sister.