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21 October 2012 @ 11:05 am
Electoral College Map, 10-21-2012  
Electoral Map 10-21-12

Only two visible changes: Arizona goes from dark orange to red; New Hampshire goes from green to yellow. There are now seven states within the 3% margin (yellow) range, and these will decide the election. Of these seven, all but two are infinitesimally leaning toward Obama rather than Romney; consequently the odds still favor an Obama victory by about 2:1. Still, I expect Election Night to be a very late-running show.

Interestingly, the probability of a popular/electoral flip has been growing; there is now about a 6% chance, according to Nate Silver, that Romney will win the popular vote but lose the election.
 
 
Current Location: Autumns
Current Mood: geeky
Current Music: Ringing in my ears
 
 
 
amamamaamamama on October 22nd, 2012 09:52 am (UTC)
From this side of the pond, it is totally inconceivable that Romney has that much support. In a nutshell, he wants to support the filthy rich so that they get even more filthy rich, and the middle and lower class are supposed to pay for that. And the middle and lower class supports it? Totally mind boggling.

Just got the link to this:http://billmoyers.com/episode/full-show-plutocracy-rising/ from a friend of mine, and while I've not seen more than about 15 minutes yet, it's some very interesting stuff the bring up. Russia and USA seem more and more like two sides of the same coin, and it's pretty chilling.